Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.001628 0.001730 0.001836 0.001953 0.002080 0.002214 0.002364
2025-02-23 0.001477 0.001621 0.001775 0.001954 0.002156 0.002378 0.002640
2025-03-02 0.001338 0.001503 0.001685 0.001903 0.002157 0.002445 0.002799
2025-03-09 0.001239 0.001417 0.001620 0.001868 0.002165 0.002512 0.002952
2025-03-16 0.001174 0.001366 0.001587 0.001864 0.002205 0.002613 0.003145
2025-03-23 0.001111 0.001310 0.001544 0.001843 0.002219 0.002679 0.003294
2025-03-30 0.001061 0.001267 0.001514 0.001834 0.002244 0.002757 0.003459
2025-04-06 0.001010 0.001219 0.001473 0.001809 0.002245 0.002802 0.003581
2025-04-13 0.000961 0.001172 0.001431 0.001778 0.002236 0.002832 0.003681
2025-04-20 0.000902 0.001109 0.001366 0.001714 0.002181 0.002796 0.003688
2025-04-27 0.000882 0.001096 0.001364 0.001732 0.002233 0.002905 0.003900
2025-05-04 0.000873 0.001094 0.001377 0.001769 0.002313 0.003055 0.004177
2025-05-11 0.000871 0.001106 0.001409 0.001838 0.002445 0.003293 0.004610
2025-05-18 0.000842 0.001079 0.001389 0.001836 0.002477 0.003391 0.004844
2025-05-25 0.000798 0.001030 0.001339 0.001788 0.002441 0.003387 0.004919
2025-06-01 0.000762 0.000993 0.001301 0.001755 0.002425 0.003411 0.005039
2025-06-08 0.000740 0.000971 0.001285 0.001752 0.002452 0.003500 0.005267
2025-06-15 0.000713 0.000943 0.001258 0.001732 0.002453 0.003548 0.005431
2025-06-22 0.000692 0.000922 0.001240 0.001724 0.002469 0.003621 0.005639
2025-06-29 0.000667 0.000895 0.001212 0.001700 0.002461 0.003653 0.005778
2025-07-06 0.000643 0.000867 0.001182 0.001672 0.002443 0.003668 0.005889
2025-07-13 0.000610 0.000827 0.001134 0.001613 0.002375 0.003597 0.005842
2025-07-20 0.000601 0.000821 0.001134 0.001629 0.002427 0.003727 0.006165